On the stability problem for conditional expectation

نویسندگان

  • Wlodzimierz Bryc
  • Wlodzimierz Smolenski
چکیده

The behavior of the conditional expectation E{X I Y) under a small perturbation Z of the conditioning random variable Y is analyzed. We show that if Y and Z are independent then E(XIY + EZ) converges to E{XIY) in mean as E --* 0 for all integrable X, provided the distribution of Y is absolutely continuous. We also show that the limit is E{X 1 Y, Z} rather than E(X 1 Y}, i.e., there is no stability, when Y is a discrete (i.e., countably valued) random variable. Finally, we show that in general E(X ( Y + EZ) might have no limit in distribution as E * 0. AMS 1980 Subject Classification: 6OH99. Kqvwords: Conditional expectations; stability; perturbation.

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تاریخ انتشار 2001